“The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is
dying and the new cannot be born”
So wrote Antonio Gramsci, the Italian socialist, in The Prison Notebooks whilst incarcerated
in a fascist jail between 1929 and 1935. This is often referred to as the
‘Gramsci paradox’.
This quote came to my mind watching the aftermath of Jeremy
Corbyn’s landslide win of the leadership of the Labour Party.
Regular readers of this blog will know that I have taken a
sceptical view of Corbyn’s chances of getting away with his stated policy aims.
The Labour establishment, in and around Parliament, will just not have it.
First we had the Labour Party grandees, Kinnock, Blair,
Mandelson, Straw and Brown (in more coded words) and others denouncing Corbyn’s
policies as unelectable, during the leadership election.
When Corbyn won last week, several new Labour heirs refused
to serve on the front bench, although it is not clear all of them would have
been asked to remain anyway. Umanna, Cooper, Reeves, Hunt, Kendal, Leslie, Reed
and Reynolds have all retired to the back benches to lick their wounds and plot
against the new leader.
But another group of Labour MPs have decided to try and
water down Corbyn’s policies that they do not agree with, under the cover of
‘party unity’. Policies, particularly concerning economic strategy, foreign
affairs and defence are in their sights for at the very least trimming.
This tack has already borne fruit, with Corbyn’s potentially
Eurosceptic views being headed off and him being forced into a U turn on his
declared preference for not ruling out Labour campaigning for an EU exit at the
forthcoming referendum, until we see what Cameron’s reforms amount to. He was
forced to more or less say that Labour will campaign to stay in the EU, however
bad Cameron’s reforms are.
Corbyn’s instincts were correct in my view, and I expect
this will not be his only U turn on policies that won him the leadership of the
party. The Labour establishment just will not accept that the party has changed
over last three months and want to return to the Tory light comfort zone of the
last twenty years.
I think that Labour is fundamentally un-reformable and
probably always has been. Even in the days before new Labour came along. Labour
was a road block to any radical policy agenda, and this when conference had
some power. In those days, ironically, it was the unions that stopped proper
left wing policies being adopted by the party. Now the unions are at the
forefront of pushing for change, but it wasn’t always like that.
The only remote chance that Corbyn has of going into the
next general election with anything like a radical policy agenda is to mobilise
the new members who have joined to support him. But even then there would be a
bloody civil war within Labour, which might result in defeat for Corbyn and his
supporters. Imagine hundreds of MPs refusing to vote for Corbyn’s preferred
policies? And perhaps joining the Lib Dems or Tories?
Something has happened in British politics in the last few
months, a thirst for something different has erupted in the Labour Party,
although it is only the latest manifestation of this restlessness for change
amongst the public. These political earthquakes have been driven by social
movements of one kind or another, and in England and US they have attached
themselves to one of the established political parties, but in Europe
(including Scotland) to a new or different party. My feeling is that the
Europeans have got this right.
I think it was Noam Chomsky who said that the US Democrat
Party ‘is the graveyard of progressive movements’ and I think the same goes for
the Labour Party too. Radical political change will not be achieved through the
Labour Party, it is an obstacle to change.
When Corbyn falls or U turns so much to become an English
Tsipras, there is a danger that people will just give up. I hope they don’t but
instead realise that Labour is not fit for the purpose of change. Only when
Labour is killed off for good will a new left movement in this country arise. I
like to think that the Green Party will be part of the new untarnished British
left that will replace it.
Yes I agree with the overall analysis but not the deterministic sense of certainty, we live in volatile times and any movement of the masses could easily bolster Corbyn's leadership and he also has the capacity to take the initiative, it's certainly surprised me to see how much he has achieved thus far. My biggest concern though is a wait and see attitude,we should raise our profile and make all of the right supportive noises, if things go pear shaped and I agree they may well do progressive politics and British working people will lose out massively from the sense of defeat. I hated Cameron's confident gleeful smile during the start of Prime Minister's Question Time, he's very pleased and we should be very worried. It's time to engage, we certainly mustn't stand by watch as events unfold.
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