Well, the
hope didn’t kill us after all. This blog remained optimistic that the Tories
could be kicked out throughout the seven weeks of the general election campaign,
and although they are clinging on, limpet like, the optimism was justified.
This wasn’t the result the Tories and their backers in the mainstream media
expected.
The Tories
have lost their majority in the House of Commons, and are being propped up by
the bigots of the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), homophobic, anti-abortion and
climate deniers, they make UKIP look like liberals. What may be a short term
gain for the prime minister and the Tory Party, staying in government, probably at a price of
increased funding for Northern Ireland, could well be a longer term further toxicity
to the Tory brand.
Giving extra
money to Northern Ireland, whilst the rest of the UK endures more Tory
austerity will not go down well in England, Scotland and Wales. But more than
this, the illiberal attitudes that are the stock in trade of the DUP, will be a
big turn off for many, including the more liberal types of Tory, I forecast.
For the Prime
Minister, Theresa May, this election result was a personal disaster, and a
complete humiliation. After months of telling everyone there would be no early general
election, she called one, in what became the first of many U-turns during the
campaign. She said she called the election to increase her majority in Parliament, and to
give her a stronger hand in the upcoming negotiations with the European Union (EU)
on the UK’s terms of exiting the organisation. The majority has not increased, it
has been lost altogether and her hand at the Brexit negotiations with the EU
has been weakened.
May made
matters worse with her speech in Downing Street yesterday, delivering what I think
was pretty much the same speech that had been written weeks ago when she was
expecting to win an increased majority of around 100 seats. Apart from adding a
few lines about her friends in the DUP, this was what she was always going to
say. No acknowledgement of what had just happened, she intends to carry on as
normal. A complete denial of her rejection by the voters. The woman is deluded.
Congratulations
to Green MP Caroline Lucas, who almost doubled her majority in Brighton Pavilion, with little else to cheer for the Greens, but we played our part in the election
result by standing down for Labour and the Lib Dems, although we have some thinking
to do about future strategy.
Congratulations
to Labour who ran a good campaign and to its leader, Jeremy Corbyn, who
surpassed all expectations and was rewarded for his relentlessly positive
attitude and who refused to join May in the gutter of trading personal insults.
The right
wing media got a bit of a bloody nose, as their dire warnings of calamity if
the Tories were not returned with a bigger majority, fell largely on deaf ears.
In fact, I think it actually backfired and encouraged more people to vote for
Labour, such was the tone of their attacks on Corbyn.
Young people
made sure their voices were heard in this election by turning up to vote, with
reports from around the country, in university towns and cities, of queues on
young voters at the polling stations. It could be that other groups who don’t normally
turn out in large numbers also voted this time.
So, can May
survive? Not for very long I think. The Tories will be determined to keep
Labour out of power, so in the short term she will probably be allowed to stay on
as prime minister, but she is fatally wounded now, and it is only a matter of
time before Tory MPs replace her.
The right wing Brexiteers will back her, but
there are enough other Tory MPs to bring her down, when they can agree an alternative
candidate. Boris Johnson, the Foreign secretary is said to ‘on manoeuvres.’
Who will wield
the knife though? My money is on Michael Gove, former Education Secretary and
the first to be sacked when May became prime minister. Gove and May are long
term enemies and the former will want revenge. I expect he is just biding his
time.
In the
meantime, people outside of Parliament should demand another general election
in the autumn, because we can’t allow ourselves to be ruled by a bunch bigots from
Northern Ireland. Bring it on.
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