Written by
Naomi Klein – an abridged version first published at The
Intercept
The entire
August 5 New York Times Magazine was composed of just one article on a single
subject: the failure to confront the global climate crisis in the 1980s, a time
when the science was settled and the politics seemed to align. The
novella-length piece represents the kind of media commitment that the climate
crisis has long deserved but almost never received.
Written by
Nathaniel Rich, this work of history is filled with insider revelations about
roads not taken that, on several occasions, made me swear out loud.
And lest
there be any doubt that the implications of these decisions will be etched in
geologic time, Rich’s words are punctuated with full-page aerial photographs by
George Steinmetz that wrenchingly document the rapid unravelling of planetary
systems. These range from the rushing water where Greenland ice used to be to
huge algae blooms in China’s third largest-lake.
We have all
heard the various excuses for why the small matter of despoiling our only home
just doesn’t cut it as an urgent news story: “Climate change is too far off in
the future”; “It’s inappropriate to talk about politics when people are losing
their lives to hurricanes and fires”; “Journalists follow the news, they don’t
make it — and politicians aren’t talking about climate change”; and of course:
“Every time we try, it’s a ratings killer.”
None of the
excuses can mask the dereliction of duty. It has always been possible for major
media outlets to decide that planetary destabilisation is a huge news story,
very likely the most consequential of our time. They always had the capacity to
harness the skills of their reporters and photographers to connect abstract
science to lived extreme weather events.
And if they
did so consistently, it would lessen the need for journalists to get ahead of
politics because the more informed the public is about both the threat and the
tangible solutions, the more they push their elected representatives to take
bold action.
Which is why it was so exciting to see the NYT throw the full force of its editorial machine behind Rich’s opus — teasing it with a promotional video, kicking it off with a live event at the Times Centre, and accompanying educational materials.
That’s also
why it is so enraging that the piece is spectacularly wrong in its central
thesis.
Getting it wrong
According to
Rich, between 1979 and 1989, the basic science of climate change was understood
and accepted, the partisan divide over the issue had yet to cleave, the fossil
fuel companies hadn’t started their misinformation campaign in earnest, and
there was a great deal of global political momentum toward a bold and binding
international emissions-reduction agreement.
Writing of
the key period at the end of the 1980s, Rich says: “The conditions for success
could not have been more favourable.”
And yet we
blew it — “we” being humans, who apparently are just too short-sighted to
safeguard our future. Just in case we missed the point of who and what is to
blame for the fact that we are now “losing Earth”, Rich’s answer is presented
in a full-page callout: “All the facts were known, and nothing stood in our
way. Nothing, that is, except ourselves.”
Yep, you and me. Not, according to Rich, the fossil fuel companies who sat in on every major policy meeting described in the piece.
Imagine
tobacco executives being repeatedly invited by the US government to come up
with policies to ban smoking. When those meetings failed to yield anything
substantive, would we conclude that the reason is that humans just want to die?
Might we perhaps determine instead that the political system is corrupt and
busted?
This misreading
has been pointed out by many climate scientists and historians since the
online version of the piece dropped on August 1. Others have remarked on the
maddening invocations of “human nature” and the use of the royal “we” to
describe a screamingly homogenous group of US power players.
Throughout Rich’s
accounting, we hear nothing from those political leaders in the Global South
who were demanding binding action in this key period and after, somehow able to
care about future generations despite being human.
The voices of
women, meanwhile, are almost as rare in Rich’s text as sightings of the
endangered ivory-billed woodpecker — and when we ladies do appear, it is mainly
as long-suffering wives of tragically heroic men.
My focus is
the central premise of the piece: that the end of the 1980s presented
conditions that “could not have been more favourable” to bold climate action.
On the contrary, one could scarcely imagine a more inopportune moment in human
evolution for our species to come face to face with the hard truth that the
conveniences of modern consumer capitalism were steadily eroding the
habitability of the planet.
The late ’80s
was the absolute zenith of the neoliberal crusade, a moment of peak ideological
ascendency for the economic and social project that deliberately set out to
vilify collective action in the name of liberating “free markets” in every
aspect of life. Yet Rich makes no mention of this parallel upheaval in economic
and political thought.
Real discussion
When I delved
into this same climate change history some years ago, I concluded, as Rich
does, that the key juncture when world momentum was building toward a tough,
science-based global agreement was 1988. That was when James Hansen, then
director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, testified before
Congress that he had “99% confidence” in “a real warming trend” linked to human
activity.
Later that
same month, hundreds of scientists and policymakers held the historic World
Conference on the Changing Atmosphere in Toronto, where the first emission
reduction targets were discussed. By the end of that year, the United Nations’
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the premier scientific body advising
governments on the climate threat, held its first session.
But climate
change wasn’t just a concern for politicians and wonks — it was watercooler
stuff, so much so that when the editors of Time magazine announced their 1988
“Man of the Year,” they went for “Planet of the Year: Endangered Earth”. The
cover featured an image of the globe held together with twine, the sun setting
ominously in the background.
“No single
individual, no event, no movement captured imaginations or dominated headlines
more,” journalist Thomas Sancton explained, “than the clump of rock and soil
and water and air that is our common home.”
When I surveyed
the climate news from this period, it really did seem like a profound shift was
within grasp. Then, tragically, it all slipped away. The US walked out of
international negotiations and the rest of the world settled for non-binding
agreements that relied on dodgy “market mechanisms” like carbon trading and
offsets.
So it really
is worth asking, as Rich does: What the hell happened? What interrupted the
urgency and determination that was emanating from all these elite
establishments simultaneously by the end of the ’80s?
Rich
concludes, while offering no social or scientific evidence, that something
called “human nature” kicked in and messed everything up.
“Human
beings,” he writes, “whether in global organizations, democracies, industries,
political parties or as individuals, are incapable of sacrificing present
convenience to forestall a penalty imposed on future generations.”
Neoliberal revolution
When I looked
at the same period, I came to a very different conclusion: that what at first
seemed like our best shot at lifesaving climate action had in retrospect
suffered from an epic case of historical bad timing.
Because what
becomes clear when you look back at this juncture is that just as governments
were talking about getting serious about reining in the fossil fuel sector, the
global neoliberal revolution went supernova. That project of economic and
social reengineering clashed with the imperatives of both climate science and
corporate regulation at every turn.
The failure
to make even a passing reference to this other global trend that was unfolding
in the late ’80s represents an unfathomably large blind spot in Rich’s piece.
After all, the primary benefit of returning to a period in the not-too-distant
past as a journalist is that you are able to see trends and patterns that were
not yet visible to people living through those tumultuous events in real time.
One thing
that becomes very clear when you look back on the late ’80s is that, far from
offering “conditions for success [that] could not have been more favorable,”
1988-89 was the worst possible moment for humanity to decide that it was going
to get serious about putting planetary health ahead of profits.
Recall what
else was going on. In 1988, Canada and the US signed their free trade
agreement, a prototype for countless pro-corporate deals that would follow. The
Berlin Wall was about to fall, an event that would be successfully seized upon
by right-wing ideologues in the US as proof of “the end of history” and taken
as license to export the Reagan-Thatcher recipe of privatisation, deregulation,
and austerity to every corner of the globe.
It was this
convergence of historical trends — the emergence of a global architecture that
was supposed to tackle climate change and the emergence of a much more powerful
global architecture to liberate capital from all constraints — that derailed
the momentum Rich rightly identifies.
Because, as
he notes repeatedly, meeting the challenge of climate change would have
required imposing stiff regulations on polluters while investing in the public
sphere to transform how we power our lives, live in cities, and move ourselves
around.
All of this
was, and is, possible. But it demands a head-on battle with the project of
neoliberalism. Meanwhile, the “free trade” deals being signed in this period
were busily making many sensible climate initiatives — like subsidising and
offering preferential treatment to local green industry and refusing many
polluting projects like fracking and oil pipelines — illegal under
international trade law.
Capitalism
I wrote a
500-page book about this collision between capitalism and the planet. I’ll
quote a short passage here:
“We have not
done the things that are needed to lower emissions because those things
fundamentally conflict with deregulated capitalism.
“We are stuck
because the actions that would give us the best chance of averting catastrophe
— and would benefit the vast majority — are extremely threatening to an elite
minority that has a stranglehold over our economy, our political process, and
most of our major media outlets;
“It is our
great collective misfortune that the scientific community made its decisive
diagnosis of the climate threat at the precise moment when those elites were
enjoying more unfettered political, cultural, and intellectual power than at
any point since the 1920s.
‘Indeed,
governments and scientists began talking seriously about radical cuts to greenhouse
gas emissions in 1988 — the exact year that marked the dawning of what came
to be called ‘globalisation’.”
Why does it
matter that Rich makes no mention of this clash and instead, claims our fate
has been sealed by “human nature”? It matters because if the force that
interrupted the momentum toward action is “ourselves”, then the fatalistic
headline on the cover of New York Times Magazine – “Losing Earth” — really is
merited. If an inability to sacrifice in the short term for a shot at health
and safety in the future is baked into our collective DNA, then we have no hope
of turning things around in time to avert truly catastrophic warming.
If, on the
other hand, we humans really were on the brink of saving ourselves in the ’80s,
but were swamped by a tide of elite, free-market fanaticism — one opposed by
millions of people around the world — then there is something quite concrete we
can do about it.
We can
confront that economic order and try to replace it with something that is
rooted in both human and planetary security, one that does not place the quest
for growth and profit at all costs at its centre.
The good news
And the good
news — and, yes, there is some — is that today, unlike in 1989, a young and
growing movement of green democratic socialists is advancing in the United
States with precisely that vision. And that represents more than just an
electoral alternative — it’s our one and only planetary lifeline.
Yet we have
to be clear that the lifeline we need is not something that has been tried
before, at least not at anything like the scale required. When the NYT tweeted out its
teaser for Rich’s article about “humankind’s inability to address the
climate change catastrophe,” the eco-justice wing of the Democratic Socialists
of America quickly offered this
correction: “*CAPITALISM* If they were serious about investigating what’s
gone so wrong, this would be about ‘capitalism’s inability to address the
climate change catastrophe.’ Beyond capitalism, *humankind* is fully capable of
organizing societies to thrive within ecological limits.”
Their point
is a good one, if incomplete. There is nothing essential about humans living
under capitalism; we humans are capable of organising ourselves into all kinds
of different social orders, including societies with much longer time horizons
and far more respect for natural life-support systems.
Indeed,
humans have lived that way for the vast majority of our history and many
Indigenous cultures keep Earth-centred cosmologies alive to this day.
Capitalism is a tiny blip in the collective story of our species.
But simply
blaming capitalism isn’t enough. It is absolutely true that the drive for
endless growth and profits stands squarely opposed to the imperative for a
rapid transition from fossil fuels.
It is
absolutely true that the global unleashing of the unbound form of capitalism
known as neoliberalism in the ’80s and ’90s has been the single greatest
contributor to a disastrous global emission spike in recent decades, as well as
the single greatest obstacle to science-based climate action ever since
governments began meeting to talk (and talk and talk) about lowering emissions.
And it remains the biggest obstacle today, even in countries that market
themselves as climate leaders, like Canada and France.
But we have
to be honest that autocratic industrial socialism has also been a disaster for
the environment, as evidenced most dramatically by the fact that carbon
emissions briefly plummeted when the economies of the former Soviet Union
collapsed in the early 1990s.
We can
conclude that socialism isn’t necessarily ecological, but that a new form of
democratic eco-socialism, with the humility to learn from Indigenous teachings
about the duties to future generations and the interconnection of all of life,
appears to be humanity’s best shot at collective survival.
We aren’t
losing Earth — but the Earth is getting so hot so fast that it is on a
trajectory to lose a great many of us. In the nick of time, a new political
path to safety is presenting itself. This is no moment to bemoan our lost
decades. It’s the moment to get the hell on that path.
Naomi Klein shocks me with this piece. She agrees that the planet is getting hotter and outlines how fossil fuels, the driver of capitalism, is the main cause.
ReplyDeleteHowever, I have seen her write and speak about geo-engineering, chemtrails and weather modification elsewhere and how that is creating a blanket of cloud holding heat in and exacerbating the change in climate.
For some bizarre reason, best know to herself no doubt, she neglects completely to raise these important matters and, most importantly, the way they have been carefully excluded from the IPCC (dubious) data which fuels the UN and others to scream so loudly about climate change.
Another aspect of climate is the changes occurring on the sun. This is a solar minimum we are seeing and that will produce a period of dramatic cooling - again..... not mentioned here or in any of the prescribed narratives we see in main stream media.
The recent up-surge of FACEBOOK WATCH videos and others that are similar focus upon fearmongering to fever pitch but AGAIN there are many aspects of climate that are conveniently obscured.
I am trusting the Greenwashers and Astroturfers less and less as this mass hysteria over climate is force-fed to us in an effort to gloss over the very real and obvious weapons that are causing massive changes to weather and climate worldwide.
Do you people really think that we are so loaded up with chemical pollution that we cannot think?
Naomi Klein insults my intelligence but reveals herself to be bought and paid for as she silences herself over issues she fully recognised only a month ago.