When the Prime Minister, Theresa May, finally decided that the ‘Brexit Means Brexit’ line had passed its sell by date as an indication of the
government’s strategy for Brexit negotiations, it was replaced by the ‘No Running
Commentary' line. The original line was meaningless anyway, you might have well
as said ‘breakfast is breakfast,’ when the real question was croissant or a
full English?
So, the next cunning plan was to say there will be no
running commentary on the negotiations, and justify it as not giving away the
government’s negotiation stance in advance of talks with the European Union
(EU). The problem with this is, that it is completely unsustainable in the real
world.
I certainly expected leaks from the EU on the matter once
talks began, but it is actually falling apart before negotiations have even
begun. Greg Clark, the Business Secretary, was forced to reveal what looks to
be a central plank of the government’s approach over the weekend, by releasing
details of the assurances given to the Japanese Car Maker, Nissan, which has a
plant in Sunderland, and were worried about having to pay tariffs on cars sold
in the EU, post Brexit.
So we have a situation where Nissan knows more about the
British government’s negotiating position than the British people and their
representatives in Parliament. Or at least we didn’t know, but it has got out
anyway. The running commentary has begun, in the media, and will no doubt
continue. The line can’t hold and the government is beginning to realise this, so
Clarke was wheeled out to give more details.
Clark revealed, that the government will seek a no tariff
agreement for the car industry, on the basis that we buy a lot of German and
French cars, so the arrangement will be beneficial all round. But companies
like Nissan will not decide to invest in production in this country, on the
basis of what the British government thinks will be the arrangement that we will
end up with. There must have been more to the assurance than that, like the
government agreeing to cover any tariffs, in the worst case scenario, with tax-payers
money.
Clark denied this, pointing to World Trade Organisation
(WTO) rules, that disallow such state subsidies to businesses, which is the worst
case scenario should we not be able to agree anything better with EU. This is
quite true, but there may be a way around this, if the EU is agreeable.
What could be done, is that Britain pays the EU direct, not
the particular businesses themselves, as this would get around the WTO rules,
as we do now, by being a member of the EU. Of course in order to make this
attractive to the EU, we would no doubt have to stump up a great deal of money,
but it appears that the British government is prepared to do this.
It may well not end there either. Other businesses will want the
same treatment, and particularly the financial services industry which
Britain’s economy is heavily reliant upon.
The government’s strategy on Brexit is becoming clearer,
which is to do anything big businesses want, and it is affecting wider policy,
like the deal with the Chinese to build the huge white elephant that is the
Hinkley Point nuclear reactor, and we see it also in the decision to build a third
runway at Heathrow airport.
What is also clear is that the no running commentary line
can’t last, and nor should it do, the government should make public what deal
it has offered Nissan in its entirety, so we all know how much all of this going to
cost tax-payers. We could well end up paying more to the EU, post Brexit,
than we are as members of the club. All to stop a few Romanian migrants entering
the UK. What a complete shambles this Brexit thing is going to be.
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