It is expected
that the UK government will publish a Green Paper shortly on the future funding
of adult social care in Britain. Government spokespersons have said that it
will be released before Parliament goes into summer recess on 20 July. Green
papers are official consultation documents produced by the government for
discussion both inside and outside Parliament, when a government is considering
introducing a new law, but are unsure of the public’s reaction to a particular
policy.
This cautious
approach taken by the government comes in the wake of the Tories disastrous manifesto
commitment at last year’s general election, which pledged to fund adult social
care by requiring users of the service to pay for care with equity held within
their homes, should they own one. The policy idea was said to be the brainchild of
Nick Timothy, one of the prime minister’s special advisers, and apparently not
even discussed in Cabinet before hand.
It was a bit
of a back of a fag packet plan, which when I first heard about it I thought was a very
un-Tory like policy, and very risky to just spring on the electorate at a
general election. It almost certainly cost the Tories votes and contributed to
the government losing its majority in Parliament. Timothy was duly sacked as an
adviser.
There is
broad agreement amongst politicians and health care professionals that this
issue does need to be sorted out. This year the gap in funding, which has been
caused by the Tories austerity agenda resulting in deep cuts to local authority
funding, has only
been partially addressed by allowing local government to raise council tax
(by 3% without having to win local referendums), but this is just a quick,
partial fix.
With an
ageing population, the problem of funding adult social care will only get worse
in the future. Estimates
of the future cost vary, but is in the range of an extra £2 to £4 Billion
per year by 2019-20, and rising thereafter, depending on the quality of care.
Council tax payers can’t be forced to pay this extra amount, so some kind of
central funding needs to be devised to meet the increased demand.
Ahead of the
Green Paper, two reports have been published which look into funding options. The Institute for Public Policy Research
(IPPR), in
a report co-authored with former health ministers Lord Darzi and Lord Prior,
advocates raising National Insurance contributions by 1p in the pound from next
year. In addition to supporting the NHS, it would enable an increase in social
care spending from £17bn to £21bn by the end of the parliament, the report
claimed.
Separately, a
report by The Health
Foundation charity and Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) for the NHS
Confederation also called for tax increases amid increasing numbers of
people aged over 65 and those with long-term medical conditions. An annual
increase of 3.9% in public funding for social care would be required over the
next 15 years to meet future needs.
IFS director
Paul Johnson said that with other areas of funding already squeezed the only
way forward was to get more money from taxpayers, but warned the Government would
have to overcome the ‘tyranny of the status quo’.
The
government is likely to resurrect the option of using the value of people’s
homes with some level of threshold limit, but it will be just one option. But
for younger people, who will require social care themselves one day, and are less
likely to have property assets because of the astronomical costs of buying a
home in many areas, so this needs to be addressed too. The idea of some kind of
social care insurance, perhaps just for younger people, is likely to be
proposed also.
I think that
it is very unlikely that higher earners will have to cover all of the costs by raising
the top rate of income tax, because the Tories just don’t do that sort thing,
even if the fairness of this is obvious to most people, but we will have to
wait and see.
Personally, I
think some kind of tax rise, perhaps ring-fenced for adult social care will have
to happen, but I see no reason why higher earners should not shoulder more of
the burden than the less wealthy, but I am a socialist after all.
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