Like a third
rate zombie movie on Netflix, delusions of nuclear fusion repeatedly rise from
the dead. The cover story in the June
2023 issue of Scientific
American by Philip Ball, “Star Power: Does Fusion Have a Future After
All?” recycles the corporate line which was broadcast on December 13,
2022. The US Department of
Energy (DOE) announced that the National Ignition
Facility (NIF) at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory had
reached a “breakthrough” in developing an alternative to fission.
As Joshua Frank described the hype
over nuclear fusion …
“… there’s no toxic mining involved, nor do
thousands of gallons of cold water have to be pumped in to cool overheated
reactors, nor will there be radioactive waste byproducts lasting hundreds of
thousands of years. And not a risk of a nuclear meltdown in sight! Fusion, so
the cheery news went, is safe, effective, and efficient!”
After six months of the announcement’s being debunked, the Scientific American article admitted some of the inherent faults with fusion, repeated some of the original misstatements, and went on with detailed descriptions of technical tweaks necessary to make the technology viable in the second half of the century. Unfortunately, most of those who criticized fusion missed one of its most serious dangers – that discovering a source of limitless cheap energy would doom humanity’s future rather than enhance it.
The Terror
In order to interpret the spin of the
military-industrial-pseudo-scientific (MIPS) complex, we need to appreciate the
primary obstacle to expanding nuclear power.
MIPS must overcome the intense terror of nukes.
The terror began with images of Hiroshima and
Nagasaki in August 1945. Photos of burnt
bodies are burned into the minds of their viewers. MIPS seeks to discount the images with the myth
that Japan had to be nuked, even though it was ready to surrender. The mythology continued with the “Atoms for
Peace” false pretense that there could be a disconnect between nuclear power
and nuclear bombs.
A few decades went by and on March 28, 1979
Three-Mile Island melted down. A good
part of its infamy stemmed from repeated government lies that the event was not
so serious and would have few long-lasting effects. Americans would never be convinced that nukes
would only be dangerous if the Soviets or Japanese built them.
Then there was Chernobyl on April 26,
1986. In 2009 the New York Academy of
Science published a detailed analysis estimating the total death count to be
around 900,000 and the MIPS spewed forth venomous claims that it was not
actually so bad, but was merely the worst human-caused catastrophe in history.
This was followed on March 11, 2011 with the Fukushima
Daiichi apocalypse when 3 of 6 nuclear reactors melted down, spreading
radioactivity into the neighboring Pacific Ocean and poisoning unknown
quantities of aquatic life. So, each
generation from World War II through today, has memories of horrendous nuclear
events which MIPS has been totally unsuccessful at erasing.
But credit should be given where it is due, and
there is an area where MIPS has done quite well in its plugola efforts. Those efforts have been to keep everyday
leakage of nuclear material and “smaller” catastrophes either out of or reduced
to short paragraphs in the corporate press.
Few know that “100 significant
accidents happened in world’s nuclear power plants from mid-1950s to
2010.” The world’s press has given scant
attention to how people were used as guinea pigs in testing sites such as the
Marshall Islands. Souma Dutta notes such
events:
“… in the Soviet nuclear test sites of Semipalatinsk in Kazakhstan, Novaya Zemlya and others, the French nuclear test sites of Reggane & Akker in Algeria and the Mururoa Atoll in the Pacific, the British test sites in the Australian territories of Monte Bello, Maralinga, Emu Field, and the Chinese test site of Lop Nur."
Denial Non-Stop
The Scientific American article lets us
know which dangers of nuclear fusion that MIPS continues to deny six months
after the NIF “breakthrough.” Despite a
good amount of evidence to contrary the article claims that nuclear fusion
would (a) produce “near zero carbon emissions” but (b) “without creating the
dangerous radioactive waste.”
Though significant carbon emissions may not be
produced during the immediate process of creating energy either through fission
or fusion, considerable emissions are associated with producing and transporting
the very large amount of equipment used in the life cycle of nukes. Additionally, Stan carefully documents that,
despite the myth that increases in solar, wind and nuclear power results in a
decrease of fossil
fuel use, “History and research tell us that a buildup of new energy
capacity won’t flush oil and fossil gas out of the system.”
That is hardly likely to change because solar
power is nowhere close to “reproducing
itself.” According to T. Vijayendra
…
“… the first ton of coal was extracted using
human and animal muscle power. But soon, machines driven by coal energy were
producing the capital equipment necessary to extract coal. This is not the case
with solar energy. All the necessary equipment, including solar collectors, are
produced through processes based on sources of energy other than the sun (coal,
oil, uranium etc.).”
Please remember that the goal of corporations
is profit. That requires expanding
production by increasing the amount of energy used to the maximum. If fusion were added to the energy mix, there
would continue be little to no decrease in fossil fuel use.
Equally fallacious is the claim that nuclear
fusion would not result in deadly waste.
Essential for the fusion process is tritium,
a radioactive form of hydrogen. Its
isotopes can permeate metals and pass through the tiniest spaces in enclosures. Since tritium can enter virtually any part of
the human body, it can lead to a variety of cancers.
Nuclear fusion would be even more inefficient at water use than would fission reactors. Though not exactly a “waste product,” this wastage would seriously drain water supplies at a time when they are increasingly being exhausted.
Dirty Little Secrets Creep into the Open
Philip Ball’s article slyly admits
the accuracy of several of the most frequent criticisms of the December 2022
“breakthrough” announcement. They appear
as a hint to the MIPS complex that, in order to manufacture consent on the
grandeur of nuclear fusion, its acolytes should modify some of their more
outlandish claims if they are to be taken seriously.
First, nuclear fusion is far, far too expensive
to provide energy “too cheap to meter” during upcoming decades. Not only is tritium (costing $30,000
per gram) necessary to start the initial reaction, reactors must be lined
with expensive lithium. Equipment to
make the tiny event happen is enormous, requiring space equal to three
football fields. The complexity of
the system requires twice as many employees –
1000 for fusion vs. 500 for a fission reactor.
This helps explain why original cost projections of $6.3 billion
mushroomed to DOE’s current estimate of $65
billion.
Second, closely linked to cost is the contrast
between the minuscule amount of electricity squeezed out with the use of 192
lasers in December 2022 and the gargantuan amount that would be needed to feed
the grid. According to Brian Tokar, the Livermore blast lasted for one
ten-billionth of a second. Nowhere close to powering a major city for a
year, or a month or even an hour.
Third, the cost for such a frivolous amount of
energy means that no one seriously suggests that fusion reactors will power
homes in the foreseeable future. Many
proponents now openly admit that claiming that the technology will be used to
improve people’s lives is a hoax. Ball quotes
an industry spokesperson bluntly
stating that “There is not today a single project underway to build a
fusion power plant that will produce energy.”
Fourth, the real reason for the race to fusion
is actually to allow the stockpiling of nuclear weapons that are even more dreadful
than present ones. Currently, a major
difficulty in manufacturing nuclear bombs is “the need for highly enriched uranium
or plutonium” to initiate the reaction.
Research with nuclear fusion could provide an alternative path to
accomplish the ignition.
Dr. M.V Ramana explains the search for “neutrons with the very short pulse widths characteristic of low-yield nuclear intercepts that can be used to establish lethal criteria for chemical/biological agents and nuclear warhead targets.” Thus, if experimentation with nuclear fusion were to be successful, it could further shorten the Doomsday Clock, increasing the probability of human annihilation.
To Dream the Impossible Dream
Critiquing fusion on the basis that “It won’t
work” has the subtle but ominous implication that, it might be okay if it did
work. This logic comes perilously close
to Ball’s
view that “The world is increasingly desperate for an abundant source of
clean energy that can mitigate the climate crisis.” The view that we must replace “bad” energy
with “good” energy is omnipresent.
Placing limits on energy growth does not even fit into the corporate
equation.
Let’s strip away the “bads” from nuclear fusion
for a moment and ask “What would it be like to have alternative energy that was
not excessively costly, did not damage the health of humans or other species,
had zero carbon emissions throughout its production life cycle, could produce
as much energy as we would ever want, and was not a con game for nuclear war?”
Such a quest for limitless energy is a journey
into oblivion. To dream the impossible
energy dream is to hallucinate the most hideous nightmare. Richard Heinberg warns of the dangers of
ignoring limits, noting that if nuke fusion were to remove limits on energy
production, corporations would expand production to endlessly deplete soil and destroy
species habitat.
Searching for infinite energy other than fossil
fuels would present dangers as ominous as nuclear war. Christopher Ketcham summarizes:
“mainstream environmentalists have siloed climate
change as a phenomenon apart from the broad human ecological footprint,
separate from deforestation, overgrazing of livestock, megafauna kill-off,
collapsing fisheries, desertification, depleted freshwater, soil degradation,
oceanic garbage gyres, toxification of rainfall with microplastics, and on and
on — the myriad biospheric effects of breakneck
growth.”
The attitude that “nothing is as threatening as
climate change” has lured many into the abyss of ignoring (or minimizing) the
humongous dangers of “alternative” energy (AltE). Stan explains how AltE
contributes to ongoing threats, writing that the total quantity of
“human-made mass” – which is everything made by people – has now exceeded the
“the total weight of all living plant, animal, and microbial biomass on Earth.” This material mass is doubling every 20
years, it contributing to the “breakdown of of entire ecosystems” as well as
climate change.
Just a few examples. Each wind turbine requires more than 60
pounds of metal – and their numbers are growing exponentially. Electric
vehicles swallow “hundreds of millions of tons of lithium-ion batteries for
power storage.” If the world economy is
to continue growing, while it converts to run fully on electricity from AltE
sources later this century, the quantity of metals that will have to be
extracted and processed during the next 15 years will exceed the amount produced
for the last 5,000 years. This will
ignite an explosion in the number of mines and devastate entire
ecosystems. It is an open question of
whether uncontrolled economic growth, climate change or nuclear war will
trigger the demise of human civilization.
The quest for eternal energy is the basis of eternal growth which becomes
the alter of eternal damnation.
The good news is that it does not have to be
like this. We now have the knowledge and
ability to provide good lives for people throughout the world if we have the
sense to distinguish what humanity needs vs. what corporations are greedy for.
Do we really need to build rocket ships to
Mars? Is the quality of our lives
improved by having products that fall apart sooner and sooner? Must there be a car for every adult on Earth
instead of having communities where people get 80% of what they use by walking
or cycling?
Are Americans really safer by having over 700
military bases and the ability to exterminate every human many times over. Don’s book on Cuban Health
Care documents how that country’s medical system produces less infant
mortality and a longer life expectancy than the US while spending less than 10%
of what the US spends per person annually.
Contrary to widespread propaganda, humanity does not desperately need more energy. We desperately need to live better with less energy.
Don Fitz (fitzdon@aol.com) is on the Editorial Board of Green Social Thought, where a version of this article originally appeared. He was the 2016 candidate of the Missouri Green Party for Governor. His book, Cuban Health Care: The Ongoing Revolution, has been available since June 2020.
Stan Cox (@CoxStan) is the author of The Path to a Livable Future and The Green New Deal & Beyond, both published by City Lights Books. He is starting the second year of writing the ‘In Real Time’ series for City Lights.
