The
overnight Cruise missile attack by US forces on the Shayrat airbase in Homs
province in Syria, brought to mind a couple of famous quotes. There is Marx’s
‘history repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce,’ and the one by
Einstein (at least broadly attributed to him) ‘the definition of insanity is
doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results.’
Both seem equally fitting in the light of US foreign policy in the middle east
over recent years.
My headline
is, of course, not strictly correct, since the US (and others, including the
UK, but mainly Russia) have been bombing Syria for the last two years, but they
were bombing rebel held areas and forces, mostly ISIS fighters. Last night
though, was the first targeting of President Assad’s regime and its armed
forces. Similar interventions in Iraq and Libya, have broadly made the
situation in those countries worse, much worse.
The missile
strikes were in response to the horrific chemical weapon attack on Idlib,
Syria, earlier in the week, killing over 80 civilians, which is assumed to have
been perpetrated by Assad’ forces, although definitive evidence of culpability
has not been produced. The Syrian government has denied that it was involved,
but it does seem likely they bear responsibility for the attack.
Apparently,
59 missiles were fired at the airbase from two US Navy ships, but according to
Russian reports only six Syrian air force planes were destroyed, and the
airbase run-way was left untouched. The report said that only 23 of the 59
missiles hit the airbase, with the rest landing in the general vicinity. Syrian
state news reported that nine civilians had been killed in the area due to the
missile strikes.
Reaction in
the West has been supportive of the US action, including the UK government, but
British forces did not take part. Across the political parties, support has
been almost universal, in the Tory, Labour and Lib Dem parties. The Green Party
has though bucked this trend.
Caroline
Lucas, MP and co-leader of the party said: “It is deeply concerning that
President Trump took this action without the permission of Congress.”
Her
co-leader, Jonathan Bartley, went further saying: “There is no simple answer to
this most complex of crises and President Trump's air strikes risk exacerbating
an already complex situation in the absence of any coherent strategy to contain
the violence and in the longer term, build peace.”
I would add
that the United Nations (UN) should have been involved in authorising any
action against Syria, but that organisation is routinely ignored by the US
since 9/11, but I really can’t see how President Trump can say that this attack
is "in the vital national security interest" of the US. What threat
is Assad to the US?
The Labour
Party leader, not for the first time out of step with his MPs, said the action “risks
intensifying a multi-sided conflict that has already killed hundreds of
thousands of people…”
But Hilary
Benn, a former shadow foreign secretary, said: “Let’s hope Syria will now think
twice before deciding to gas its own people again.”
There have
been reports that Idlib has been bombed again today, presumably by Assad’s air force,
although there are no reports of chemical weapons being used. The wider context
though is that this missile attack on Syria will make not the slightest bit of
difference to the ongoing conflict in the country, apart from making it more
difficult to achieve a lasting solution to the situation.
Obviously,
the chemical attack on civilians in Idlib is war crime, and should be condemned
in the strongest terms, but we have all the evidence we need with recent military
adventures in the region, that interfering in this way, does not solve
anything, and always makes things worse. A collective solution, through the UN,
is the only way we will make any progress in Syria.
This knee
jerk, white man’s burden type of blunt military action, ordered by Trump, will
be as ineffective in leading to a solution as his predecessors’ actions have
been in the same way. We should stop this ‘something must be done’ attitude
when it entails more death and destruction, mainly for the civilian population.
Might this
have been a perfect opportunity for Trump’s new relationship with Russia? That
is out of the window now too, but that maybe useful, given the investigations
into collusion between Russia and the Trump campaign, during last year’s
election. It may also be useful as a general distraction from Trump’s domestic political
problems.
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