Yesterday the
House of Lords voted by 358 to 256 in favour of amending the Brexit bill, to
give EU nationals living in the UK the right to stay in this country. The amended Bill
we now be passed back to House of Commons to vote on.
MPs rejected
a similar amendment last week, but the tide may have turned on this issue. It is
now said that around 30 Tory MPs are considering voting for the amendment,
which could swing the vote in favour of the amendment.
Caroline Lucas, Green Party MP and co leader of the party tweeted:
'Great to see
Lords defeat govt over rights of EU citizens. Govt must now concede - will
fight for that in Commons.'
Government Whips
will be out in force to try and ensure rebel Tory MPs toe the line and reject
the amendment, and they may be successful. The government has promised that
this will be the first issue to be resolved when negotiations begin, and hopes
a reciprocal arrangement for UK nationals living in the EU, can be concluded
early on in talks.
They also
implied that the EU are holding things up, by not allowing pre-Article 50 talks,
but this rings hollow, and is probably an indicator of how things will be spun,
particularly in the right wing media. Expect furious stories in the Mail,
Express etc on how unreasonable the EU is being by not letting us have
everything we want out of a Brexit deal. It will not be pretty.
There are
around 1.2 million UK nationals living in the EU and around 3 million EU
nationals living in the UK. The government has refused to guarantee EU
nationals the right to remain here, saying that this will be part of the
negotiations on the UK leaving the EU. It does rather look like these people
are being used as bargaining chips in the negotiations, which the government
denies, but what other conclusion can be drawn?
Nicolas
Hatton, the chairman of the 3 million campaign group which has been lobbying
for the rights of EU citizens said that while he had some concerns about the
amendment it was a relief that for the first time since the referendum, a
majority was secured in parliament to support the rights of the 3 million EU
citizens “who came in good faith to live and work the UK”.
I think the government is wrong on many levels in taking its approach:
First of all,
we need to reassure people living in the UK about their future here. It is not
fair to people, who need to make life decisions. It must be a worry for EU
nationals in the UK. As even a Brexiteer like Michael Gove said just after the
referendum result, ‘it is a matter of plain decency,’ to allow these people to
continue to live and work in the UK (if they wish).
The vast
majority of the EU nationals living in the UK are young, whereas the largest
grouping of UK nationals living in the EU, are pensioners, living in Spain,
roughly about half of the EU total. Younger people are productive in the UK
economy, whereas our ex-pats in Spain are not, to a large extent, anyway.
If these
older people come back to the UK they will need more health and social care, a
sector of the economy which at present has large numbers of EU nationals doing
the work.
The idea of
expelling 3 million productive workers is a recipe for a collapse in the UK
economy. EU nationals work across all sectors of the economy, and of course pay
tax here. It would be madness.
For this to
be the opening salvo of negotiations, it will likely harden attitudes in the
EU, when we want relations to be as amicable as is possible. To state
unilaterally, that the UK will allow all those EU nationals already residing
here, to remain, would be a gesture of goodwill.
And, because
it is just plain right to allow people to stay. Natural justice demands that
people who came in good faith to this country should not be penalised.
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