Figure 1 Source Financial Sense
Many Greens stress the need to move away from fossil fuels
and replace our energy generation with renewable energy, solar, wind, hydro, tidal,
thermal (and some advocate biomass). This type of power generation doesn’t emit
carbon in the process (except biomass) and is reasonably abundant if only we put the money and
effort into capturing it. We know about the problems caused to the climate by
burning fossil fuels, and to remedy this, we need to instead generate clean
power, to reduce our emissions. So far, so good.
If we look at the chart above, figure 1, even if we
include the hydro figure with the other renewable sources we are still
producing less than a quarter of the world’s electricity from renewable
resources. This is a huge gap to make up, although to some extent we could
reduce the overall amount we use now, by introducing energy efficiency
measures, but even so, the challenge is massive, even if there was the
political will to do it, which there isn’t really.
Some may advocate nuclear power as the answer to filling the
gap, but this is not completely emission free, since raw uranium needs to be
extracted and this is a finite resource anyway, which will eventually run out.
The new nuclear reactors are said to be able to be fuelled by nuclear waste
from the older style nuclear plants, which does solve the problem of what to do
with the waste and increases the raw material available for fuel. Of course,
there is still the danger aspect associated with nuclear power plants and the
potential to cause large scale disaster as we have seen from time to time.
Personally I’m not in favour of nuclear for this reason, the risk is too great.
Figure 2 Source Our Finite World
The diagram figure 2 above shows the increase in energy use over the past few years, including a slight fall in 2009 in the US and Europe (mainly) caused by the economic recession. It also shows GDP following the use of energy closely. You will see that overall the trend is of
rising consumption.
The industrial revolution would not have been possible
without the huge increase in energy produced through mainly burning coal to
produce steam power. Before this innovation energy was produced by human beings
or animals, plus some wind and hydro power for small mills. Indeed the economic
growth produced by fossil fuel generated energy, is the lifeblood of the
capitalist system. Without growth, capitalism dies and without energy to power
the process, there is not anywhere near enough growth to sate capitalism’s
demands.
Figure 3 Source Nature
If we think about all the new gadgets we own which we didn’t
own twenty years ago, mobile phones, lap tops, desk tops, tablets all of which
require electricity to function, and things like HD television screens which use
about five times as much power as the old analogue TVs, you get a sense of the
problem.
Even if we could produce as much renewable energy as we need
today, what about in twenty years time, fifty years time? You see the problem.
With the possible exception of nuclear power, if the capitalist system is to
survive and prosper, we will need to keep burning fossil fuels. There is enough
of this left for hundreds years, but if we do use it, we will have catastrophic
climate change.
This is not to say that shouldn’t produce more energy from
renewable sources, clearly we should. But we shouldn’t fool ourselves that this
will solve our climate problems, on its own.
And so, if we want to avoid destroying the world, we need to
ditch the capitalist system. Not so easy I know, but it is the only honest
assessment for Greens to hold. System change, not climate change. This is the
only answer.
You say "We know about the problems caused to the climate by burning fossil fuels, and to remedy this, we need to instead generate clean power, to reduce our emissions. So far, so good."
ReplyDeleteAnd then you demonstrate that 'two into one doesn't go' and conclude that capitalism has had it because " Without growth, capitalism dies and without energy to power the process, there is not anywhere near enough growth to sate capitalism’s demands."
In a nut-shell business-as-usual is not viable.
But capitalism is extremely adaptable. If capitalism is essentially some process that favours capital i.e. people who have more money than that just needed to survive they will exploit that to their own selfish advantage. So Kings and candle-stick makers will still be in business even when the whole world corporate structure collapses around our feet - because, as you've argued above, the present corporate, high technology business structure is predicated on growth. The appalling, world-wide social mayhem that will follow is nigh beyond imagination but Syria gives but one foretaste among many. But like capitalism, people are almost infinitely adaptable and capitalism will rise again.
I surmise that it is already in existence in the Calais immigration camps.
If capitalism re-invents itself to somehow stop trashing world, then it wouldn't really be capitalism. Capitalism is incompatible with sound ecology.
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